Wednesday, February 27, 2008

My Spring Training Game

I always wondered what would happen if a college sports team played a professional sports team (you know, in the sport they both played).

The University of Michigan's baseball team just played the New York Mets, projected to win the NL East (one of the more competitive divisions in baseball) this year. The final score was 4-4.

Four to four?! A tie?! There's no WAY they're even close in ability (for starters, not every player on the Michigan team will play in the majors, much less start their first year out...). Chuck said it's because of how baseball works: randomly. And I agree. The winner of a baseball game is only loosely correlated with which team is better. In fact, I recall statisticians calculating that even in a 162 game season with 7 game series in the playoffs, a team which is clearly the best won't even win the World Series 50% of the time. Yet one more reason why baseball is in decline: the outcome is fairly random. So much so that a college team can tie one of the better professional teams.

For reasons that should be obvious, I can't wait until Michigan's football team plays the Eagles.

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