Lord Henry commented that John Edwards should drop out of the race, because if he doesn't, Hillary might win. I agree with his goals: it's vastly preferable for Hillary Clinton not to get the nomination. But I disagreed with his conclusion, saying that his idea only works if Edwards supporters would break disproportionately for Obama.

MSNBC has been asking Edwards supporters in exit polls who their second choice would be, and it's about evenly split (neither Obama nor Clinton has an advantage among those voting for Edwards). This means that Edwards can safely stay in the race and not affect the results, which is good, because he's driving the debate. Clinton and Obama want to talk about themselves, while Edwards is forcing the field to debate ideas and make proposals (even the Hillary-endorsing New York Times admits that much). More on this later, perhaps. It's too early to be smart.