Sunday, July 26, 2009

Baseball statistics question: which is a better predictor of strikeouts thrown by Pitcher A in an upcoming game?:
(1) Total strikeouts per game of starting pitch for Team A?
(2) Total strikeouts per game of Team B's starting lineup?

And in general, what bodes better for your team? A better pitcher, or worse opponents?

I feel like a super in-depth analysis could probably lead to some gambling opportunities as well as satisfaction of curiosity...
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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

In general neither item is particularly valuable without some information about the other. Knowing Pitcher A's average is useful only if you have some idea if Team B is good, bad, or average. The converse is true for Team B: if A is a good pitcher then Team B's performance is likely to be below average.

Since your focus is Pitcher A the stats on Pitcher A will be more valuable than total strikeouts for Team B. Also the stats for Team B are probably based on the starter and the relievers/closers.

-A

P.S. Tag, you're it!

7/27/2009 1:46 AM

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